Probe Bet on the River in Raised and Limped Spots in 3-Max

[TIGANCIC]

I’m trying to figure out the scenario for a Probe Bet on the river in 3-Max:

Scenario (Raised Spot):

SB raises preflop.
BB calls.
SB bets the flop, BB calls.
Turn goes check-check.
On the river, BB makes a Probe Bet.

Code: Select all

sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 8
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 3
    AND tourney_hand_summary.str_actors_p LIKE '9%'
    AND ((tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_p_2bet_facing + tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_blind) / tourney_blinds.amt_bb) >= 2
    AND lookup_actions_p.action = 'C'
    AND lookup_actions_f.action = 'C'
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing = 0
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_made > 0
, 1, 0])


Code: Select all

sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 8
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 3
    AND tourney_hand_summary.str_actors_p LIKE '9%'
    AND ((tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_p_2bet_facing + tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_blind) / tourney_blinds.amt_bb) >= 2
    AND lookup_actions_p.action = 'C'
    AND lookup_actions_f.action = 'C'
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing = 0
, 1, 0])


Scenario (Limped Spot):

SB limps preflop.
BB checks.
SB bets the flop, BB calls.
Turn goes check-check.
On the river, BB makes a Probe Bet.

Code: Select all

sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 8
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 3
    AND tourney_hand_summary.str_actors_p LIKE '9%'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.cnt_p_face_limpers = 1
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_p_raise_made = 0
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_f_bet_facing > 0
    AND lookup_actions_f.action = 'C'
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing = 0
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_made > 0
, 1, 0])

Code: Select all

sum(if[
    tourney_hand_player_statistics.position = 8
    AND tourney_hand_summary.cnt_players = 3
    AND tourney_hand_summary.str_actors_p LIKE '9%'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.cnt_p_face_limpers = 1
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_p_raise_made = 0
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_f_bet_facing > 0
    AND lookup_actions_f.action = 'C'
    AND lookup_actions_t.action = 'X'
    AND tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing = 0
, 1, 0])

[Flag_Hippo]

That looks fine. Just be careful using tourney_hand_player_statistics.amt_r_bet_facing = 0 in a column as this will also be true in all hands where the player doesn't reach the river. Other things in these columns imply the player reached the river but if you want to specify that the player has an opportunity to bet I would recommend using tourney_hand_player_statistics.flg_r_open_opp instead.